China has vowed a fair ruling in its ongoing beef import investigation, which may lead to higher tariffs or restrictions if domestic producers are at risk. The review, launched last year, covers all imported beef and coincides with slowing demand and oversupply in the world’s largest beef market.
A hearing on Monday gathered 180 stakeholders, including officials from Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Australia, and the U.S., alongside exporters, trade groups, Chinese importers, and domestic producers. With China importing a record 2.87 million metric tons of beef in 2024, top suppliers fear potential trade restrictions.
The U.S. beef industry, which serves China’s high-end food market, argues that restrictions won’t benefit local producers, whose beef is typically priced lower. Brazilian beef, known for its affordability, overlaps with segments of China’s domestic market, adding to industry concerns.
Last month, China temporarily suspended imports from six companies in Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay due to non-compliance with registration rules. Among the affected plants is a major JBS facility in Brazil’s Goiás state. Traders worry more suspensions may follow.
Adding to uncertainty, China has yet to renew U.S. beef facility registrations that expired March 16, discouraging new deals. The U.S. beef industry already faces a 10% tariff from China’s retaliatory duties on American farm goods, and further restrictions could worsen sales.
The probe, launched December 27, is set to last eight months but could be extended. As major suppliers await China’s decision, global beef trade remains on edge.
